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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

The projections expect Tyreek Hill to garner 7.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After accumulating 113.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has seen a big decrease this season, now sitting at 78.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill's 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a substantial decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 109.0 figure.

Tyreek Hill's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 71.2% to 64.9%.

Tyreek Hill's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 10.4 mark.

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