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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 92.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 93.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this week's game, Tyreek Hill is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 12.4 targets.

Tyreek Hill's 80.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 99th percentile for wideouts.

Tyreek Hill has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (118.0) this year than he did last year (92.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

Tyreek Hill has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (124.0 per game) than he did last year (131.0 per game).

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a puny 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in the league.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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