Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 5:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The predictive model expects Tyreek Hill to accrue 11.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyreek Hill's 81.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 99th percentile for WRs.
Tyreek Hill has posted substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (119.0) this year than he did last year (92.0).
Tyreek Hill's 73.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 70.8% rate.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Tyreek Hill has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (122.0 per game) than he did last season (131.0 per game).
The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) to wide receivers this year.

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