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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 97.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 94.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 97.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to earn 12.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

Tyreek Hill has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 31.8% this year, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Tyreek Hill has put up many more adjusted receiving yards per game (109.0) this season than he did last season (92.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Tyreek Hill has notched quite a few less air yards this season (113.0 per game) than he did last season (131.0 per game).

The Miami offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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