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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-166/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 93.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 0.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

In this game, Tyreek Hill is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 12.5 targets.

Tyreek Hill has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 31.6% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to call just 63.8 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins this year (just 55.7 per game on average).

Tyreek Hill has totaled far fewer air yards this year (113.0 per game) than he did last year (131.0 per game).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Ravens pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.9%) vs. WRs this year (59.9%).

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