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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 90.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to notch 10.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Tyreek Hill has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 31.0% this year, which puts him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Tyreek Hill has notched many more adjusted receiving yards per game (110.0) this season than he did last season (92.0).

Tyreek Hill's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 70.8% to 75.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

Tyreek Hill has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (131.0 per game).

The Cowboys defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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