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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 99.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 98.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Tyreek Hill is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.4 targets.
  • Tyreek Hill has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 33.0% this year, which ranks him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Tyreek Hill has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (117.0) this season than he did last season (92.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • After totaling 131.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has regressed heavily this season, currently averaging 113.0 per game.

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