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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to notch 10.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a sizeable 32.1% Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Tyreek Hill has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (117.0) this year than he did last year (92.0).

Tyreek Hill's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 70.8% to 74.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.

After totaling 131.0 air yards per game last year, Tyreek Hill has posted significant losses this year, currently pacing 119.0 per game.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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