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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 91.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 91.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 91.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to garner 11.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Tyreek Hill has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (32.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (26.6%).

Tyreek Hill has notched significantly more air yards this season (122.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.

The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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