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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to earn 10.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tyreek Hill has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 31.4% this year, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tyreek Hill has put up far more air yards this year (114.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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