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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Tyreek Hill has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 30.5% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tyreek Hill has totaled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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