Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Tyreek Hill has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 30.5% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyreek Hill has totaled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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