Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 92.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to garner 10.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
Tyreek Hill has put up many more air yards this year (137.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
Tyreek Hill's 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 66.1.
Tyreek Hill has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (105.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).
Tyreek Hill's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 72.7% to 76.6%.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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