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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Tyreek Hill Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (24.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).

Tyreek Hill has totaled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Tyreek Hill's 70.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 95th percentile for WRs.

Tyreek Hill has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 75.5% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 0.60 per game this year.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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