Tyreek Hill Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-215).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
Tyreek Hill has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Tyreek Hill has accumulated a colossal 105.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among wideouts.
Tyreek Hill's 67.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 96th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 58.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Tyreek Hill's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.7% to 65.4%.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.3%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.3%).
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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