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Tyreek Hill
NFL · Player Props
Tyreek Hill
WR · Miami Dolphins
Receiving TD
Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Tyreek Hill Receiving TD

Tyreek Hill Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -113.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game near the goal line this week (22.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.9% in games he has played).
  • Tyreek Hill has put up many more air yards this year (137.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
  • Tyreek Hill's 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 66.1.
  • Tyreek Hill's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 72.7% to 76.6%.
  • Tyreek Hill grades out in the 88th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.40 per game.
Favors Under
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
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