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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Tyquan Thornton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.

While Tyquan Thornton has accounted for 7.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's offense in this contest at 15.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.

Tyquan Thornton comes in as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a lowly 1.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 12th percentile among wideouts.

Tyquan Thornton's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 50.6% to 42.3%.

This year, the tough Steelers defense has conceded a mere 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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