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Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Bengals defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) versus wide receivers last year.

The Bengals pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus wide receivers last year, giving up 10.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

The Bengals safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a feeble 11.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (15th percentile) last year, Tyquan Thornton rates among the worst wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

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