Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyquan Thornton

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
While Tyquan Thornton has accounted for 7.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's offense in this contest at 15.5%.
The Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
Tyquan Thornton has posted quite a few less air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).
Tyquan Thornton has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Tyquan Thornton's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 50.6% to 42.3%.
Tyquan Thornton's 3.1 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 6.3 mark.

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