Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyquan Thornton

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Tyquan Thornton to be a more important option in his team's pass game in this week's contest (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).
This year, the feeble Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded a monstrous 193.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Tyquan Thornton has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
Tyquan Thornton's 9.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a remarkable decline in his receiving skills over last year's 22.0 figure.
Tyquan Thornton's 46.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 50.6% rate.
Tyquan Thornton's 3.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteworthy regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 6.3 mark.

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