Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (172.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (71%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.0%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.