Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyquan Thornton

NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.66 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.
The New England Patriots offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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