Tyquan Thornton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Tyquan Thornton

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving TD

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyquan Thornton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+318/-584).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -572 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -584.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.
The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) versus wide receivers this year (63.0%).
The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.