Tyler Scott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyler Scott

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Scott

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Scott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the deficient Panthers defense has conceded the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 4.58 YAC.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Carolina's CB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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