My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.

In this week's contest, Tyler Lockett is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 78th percentile among WRs with 7.1 targets.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Tyler Lockett's 39.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 57.3.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™