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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.

With an excellent 4.4 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

Tyler Lockett's 16.6% Target Rate this season signifies a significant decrease in his pass game workload over last season's 23.0% rate.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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