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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Tyler Lockett rates in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 54.7 figure since the start of last season.

Tyler Lockett comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in football.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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