My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

Tyler Lockett's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 67.9% to 71.0%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Chicago's LB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 10th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Tyler Lockett has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this season (12.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.0%).

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Tyler Lockett's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.7 rate.

This year, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has yielded a feeble 64.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-smallest rate in football.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™