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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.

The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his team's pass game this season (13.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.0%).

The Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Lockett's 3.0 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 4.7 mark.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

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