My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This year, the shaky Cardinals pass defense has been torched for a whopping 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett's 14.4% Target Rate this year marks a noteable regression in his pass attack utilization over last year's 23.0% rate.

The Seattle O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Tyler Lockett's receiving performance has tailed off this season, accumulating just 3.4 adjusted catches compared to 4.7 last season.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™