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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's CB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his offense's pass game this season (14.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.0%).

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Tyler Lockett's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 4.7 figure.

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