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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Tyler Lockett has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this year (15.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (23.0%).

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.4%) to WRs this year (56.4%).

The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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