Tyler Lockett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
The leading projections forecast Tyler Lockett to notch 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Tyler Lockett ranks in the 86th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 60.4 mark this year.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Tyler Lockett's 65.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 75.8% figure.
The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) to wideouts this year (57.2%).

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