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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Tyler Lockett is expected by the predictive model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.9 targets.
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for wideouts.
  • With an impressive 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett has been among the leading wide receivers in the game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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