My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

In this week's contest, Tyler Lockett is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

With a sizeable 23.5% Target% (86th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

Tyler Lockett comes in as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a fantastic 5.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Tyler Lockett's 70.4% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 75.8% figure.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™