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Tyler Lockett
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Lockett
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receptions
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Tyler Lockett Receptions

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to accumulate 8.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tyler Lockett's 61.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 88th percentile for wide receivers.
Favors Under
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have utilized motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
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