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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Tyler Lockett's 62.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 92nd percentile for WRs.

Tyler Lockett has been among the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (68.3%).

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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