Tyler Lockett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
Tyler Lockett's 57.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for WRs.
Tyler Lockett has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.4% to 76.8%.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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