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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.
  • Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.4% to 76.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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