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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett's 15.7% Target Share this season reflects a remarkable diminishment in his air attack utilization over last season's 23.0% mark.

Tyler Lockett has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (83.0 per game).

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.00 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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