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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 7.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

After accumulating 83.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Lockett has regressed heavily this year, currently averaging 61.0 per game.

Tyler Lockett's 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 57.3.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

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