My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Tyler Lockett to earn 6.8 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.8 per game on average).

Tyler Lockett has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this season (17.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.0%).

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.

With a poor 2.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (22nd percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league in picking up extra yardage.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™