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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Tyler Lockett has put up a monstrous 80.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett rates in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 54.7 figure since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in football.
  • The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Lockett grades out as one of the bottom wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 9th percentile.

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