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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Tyler Lockett is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 77th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.
  • Tyler Lockett has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 23.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • When talking about air yards, Tyler Lockett grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 84.0 per game.
  • With a terrific 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Lockett places among the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.7%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Tyler Lockett comes in as one of the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 10th percentile.

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