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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

Tyler Lockett's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 67.9% to 71.0%.

Tyler Lockett's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.9 mark.

The Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 8.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Tyler Lockett has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this season (12.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.0%).

Tyler Lockett has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Tyler Lockett's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a substantial reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 54.0 figure.

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