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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.

The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

Tyler Lockett's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.9 rate.

The Vikings defense has been torched for the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (183.0) vs. wideouts this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his team's pass game this season (13.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.0%).

After accumulating 83.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has fallen off this season, now sitting at 51.0 per game.

The Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Lockett's 39.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 54.0 figure.

With a subpar 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett ranks as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in football in picking up extra yardage.

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