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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Tyler Lockett's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 8.86 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.85 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his offense's air attack this year (13.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (23.0%).

Tyler Lockett has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Lockett has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (40.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

Tyler Lockett is positioned as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 2.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.

More Tyler Lockett Player Props

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