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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Tyler Lockett's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, notching 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.85 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett's 14.4% Target Rate this year marks a noteable regression in his pass attack utilization over last year's 23.0% rate.

Tyler Lockett has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).

The Seattle O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Tyler Lockett has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

With a lackluster 2.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (15th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the league in picking up extra yardage.

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