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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Tyler Lockett's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, compiling 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.85 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

Tyler Lockett has been a less important option in his offense's passing attack this season (14.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.0%).

After averaging 83.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has been a disappointment this season, now sitting at 59.0 per game.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Tyler Lockett profiles as one of the bottom wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 14th percentile.

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