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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

Tyler Lockett's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.9 figure.

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's CB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his offense's pass game this season (14.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.0%).

After totaling 83.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 61.0 per game.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Tyler Lockett checks in as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.

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