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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 130.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • Tyler Lockett's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.9 figure.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's CB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Lockett has been much less involved in his offense's pass game this season (14.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.0%).
  • After totaling 83.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 61.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Tyler Lockett checks in as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.

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