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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • With an excellent 52.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (77th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett has been as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.
  • Tyler Lockett's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a material growth in his receiving ability over last season's 7.9 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Tyler Lockett has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this year (15.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (23.0%).
  • Tyler Lockett has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (83.0 per game).
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a subpar 2.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (14th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in football in picking up extra yardage.

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