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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Lockett has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 22.6% last year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

As it relates to air yards, Tyler Lockett ranks in the lofty 87th percentile among WRs last year, accruing an impressive 83.0 per game.

With a stellar 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (76th percentile) last year, Tyler Lockett places among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. WRs last year, surrendering 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

Last year, the deficient Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 5.61 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are projected by the model to run only 62.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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